
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
2%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 1.9% and is holding roughly steady (+0.8pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved +0.8pp in the last 24h (now 1.9%).
- •Trading activity: $18,473 traded over 24h on $52,526 liquidity.
- •Resolution approaching: Market resolves in under a day — expect convergence toward the outcome.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 67%
Analytics
About this market
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
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YES
2%
NO
98%
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