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Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?

10%

YES probability

10%YES

AI Market Insight

Bearish

The market currently prices YES at 10.0% and is softening toward NO (-8.5pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved -8.5pp in the last 24h (now 10.0%).
  • Trading activity: $2,654 traded over 24h on $4,931 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 76%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Place a bet

Shares1000.00
Payout if win1,000 coins
Profit if win+900 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

10%

NO

90%

Best bid9.0¢
Best ask11.0¢
Spread2.00¢
24h volume$2.7K
Liquidity$4.9K
Total volume$3.1K

Bids

9.0¢$140.7
8.0¢$225
7.0¢$346.8
6.0¢$5
3.0¢$137
2.0¢$275
1.0¢$5

Asks

11.0¢$204.5
12.0¢$143.8
15.0¢$170
17.0¢$80
18.0¢$45
19.0¢$150
20.0¢$62
21.0¢$75
Mid 10.0¢Spread 2.00¢