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Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?

20%

YES probability

20%YES

AI Market Insight

Bullish

The market currently prices YES at 19.5% and is firming toward YES (+5.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved +5.0pp in the last 24h (now 19.5%).
  • Trading activity: $2,618 traded over 24h on $3,833 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 76%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Place a bet

Shares512.82
Payout if win513 coins
Profit if win+413 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

20%

NO

81%

Best bid18.0¢
Best ask21.0¢
Spread3.00¢
24h volume$2.6K
Liquidity$3.8K
Total volume$3.2K

Bids

18.0¢$155
17.0¢$1.1K
16.0¢$575
15.0¢$72.1
14.0¢$45.1
13.0¢$1K
11.0¢$100
10.0¢$50

Asks

21.0¢$73.3
22.0¢$145
24.0¢$151
25.0¢$74.7
26.0¢$152
27.0¢$45
28.0¢$210
30.0¢$100
Mid 19.5¢Spread 3.00¢