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Active1mo

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

93%

YES probability

93%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 92.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $7,282 traded over 24h on $163,823 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Place a bet

Shares108.11
Payout if win108 coins
Profit if win+8 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

93%

NO

7%

Best bid92.0¢
Best ask93.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$7.3K
Liquidity$163.8K
Total volume$930.3K

Bids

92.0¢$57.4K
91.0¢$21.3K
90.0¢$34.3K
81.0¢$500
75.0¢$200
74.0¢$6.5
70.0¢$500
66.0¢$5.1K

Asks

93.0¢$66.5K
94.0¢$32.4K
95.0¢$34.9K
96.0¢$44.5K
97.0¢$169.1K
98.0¢$29.4K
99.0¢$125.3K
Mid 92.5¢Spread 1.00¢