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ScienceClosing soonEnded

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

100%

YES probability

0%YES
No price history available for this interval.

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 100.0% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $1,223 traded over 24h on $129,750 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Place a bet

Shares100.05
Payout if win100 coins
Profit if win+0 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

100%

NO

0%

Best bid99.9¢
Best ask100.0¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$1.2K
Liquidity$129.7K
Total volume$3.2K

Bids

No bid orders

Asks

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Mid Spread