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Active7mo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

16%

YES probability

16%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 15.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $80,472 traded over 24h on $598,612 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Place a bet

Shares645.16
Payout if win645 coins
Profit if win+545 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

16%

NO

85%

Best bid15.0¢
Best ask16.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$80.5K
Liquidity$598.6K
Total volume$30.8M

Bids

15.0¢$11.4K
14.0¢$270.8K
13.0¢$388.5K
12.0¢$153.3K
11.0¢$303.7K
10.0¢$73.1K
9.0¢$34.8K
8.0¢$36.7K

Asks

16.0¢$72.2K
17.0¢$110.9K
18.0¢$96.2K
19.0¢$64.1K
20.0¢$127.9K
21.0¢$1.8K
22.0¢$1.2K
23.0¢$1K
Mid 15.5¢Spread 1.00¢