Active7mo

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

YES probability

9%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 9.3% and is holding roughly steady (+0.8pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

•24h probability move: YES moved +0.8pp in the last 24h (now 9.3%).
•Trading activity: $79 traded over 24h on $34,458 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 59%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

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Amount (coins)

Shares1069.52

Payout if win1,070 coins

Profit if win+970 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

91%

Best bid6.7¢

Best ask12.0¢

Spread5.30¢

24h volume$78.6

Liquidity$34.5K

Total volume$812.3K

Bids

6.7¢$60.8

4.5¢$8

4.4¢$153

4.3¢$279

4.2¢$2K

4.1¢$5K

3.9¢$10K

3.8¢$12.5K

Asks

12.0¢$30

12.7¢$79

12.8¢$178

12.9¢$19.3

15.0¢$10

15.3¢$85

15.4¢$200.5

15.5¢$19K

Mid 9.3¢Spread 5.30¢