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Active28d

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

56%

YES probability

56%YES

AI Market Insight

Bearish

The market currently prices YES at 55.5% and is softening toward NO (-9.5pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved -9.5pp in the last 24h (now 55.5%).
  • Trading activity: $6,353 traded over 24h on $1,758 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 76%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Resolution

Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD

Place a bet

Shares180.18
Payout if win180 coins
Profit if win+80 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

56%

NO

44%

Best bid55.0¢
Best ask56.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$6.4K
Liquidity$1.8K
Total volume$6.4K

Bids

55.0¢$958.2
54.0¢$917
51.0¢$234.6
22.0¢$50
18.0¢$200
13.0¢$230.8
10.0¢$200
1.0¢$105

Asks

56.0¢$40
57.0¢$424
58.0¢$793
60.0¢$50
68.0¢$34.4
69.0¢$200
83.0¢$225
89.0¢$272.7
Mid 55.5¢Spread 1.00¢