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AIActive19mo

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

6%

YES probability

5%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 5.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $4,397 traded over 24h on $24,912 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Place a bet

Shares1801.80
Payout if win1,802 coins
Profit if win+1,702 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

6%

NO

94%

Best bid5.4¢
Best ask5.7¢
Spread0.30¢
24h volume$4.4K
Liquidity$24.9K
Total volume$134.6K

Bids

No bid orders

Asks

No ask orders

Mid Spread