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Active3mo

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

99%

YES probability

99%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 98.9% and is holding roughly steady (-0.6pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved -0.6pp in the last 24h (now 98.9%).
  • Trading activity: $7,464 traded over 24h on $24,086 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 58%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Place a bet

Shares101.11
Payout if win101 coins
Profit if win+1 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

99%

NO

1%

Best bid98.8¢
Best ask99.0¢
Spread0.20¢
24h volume$7.5K
Liquidity$24.1K
Total volume$204.3K

Bids

98.8¢$114.9
98.7¢$20
98.6¢$60
98.3¢$100
98.2¢$453
98.1¢$300
98.0¢$1K
97.8¢$158.1

Asks

99.0¢$67.6
99.2¢$98
99.3¢$2.2K
99.4¢$43.3K
99.6¢$738.3
99.7¢$6.3K
99.8¢$12.2K
99.9¢$16.2K
Mid 98.9¢Spread 0.20¢