Will Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in May?
1%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 0.8% and is holding roughly steady (+0.7pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved +0.7pp in the last 24h (now 0.8%).
- •Trading activity: $578 traded over 24h on $2,735 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 59%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in May, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of May at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
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YES
1%
NO
99%
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