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Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0%

YES probability

0%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 0.3% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $3,355 traded over 24h on $28,992 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Place a bet

Shares40000.00
Payout if win40,000 coins
Profit if win+39,900 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

0%

NO

100%

Best bid0.2¢
Best ask0.3¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$3.4K
Liquidity$29K
Total volume$259.7K

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No bid orders

Asks

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Mid Spread