Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
11%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 10.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Trading activity: $3,582 traded over 24h on $113,963 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%
Analytics
About this market
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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YES
11%
NO
90%
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