Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
98%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 98.3% and is holding roughly steady (-0.5pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -0.5pp in the last 24h (now 98.3%).
- •Trading activity: $8,075 traded over 24h on $58,071 liquidity.
- •Resolution approaching: Market resolves in under a day — expect convergence toward the outcome.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 66%
Analytics
About this market
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Place a bet
Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.
YES
98%
NO
2%
Bids
Asks