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Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

13%

YES probability

13%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 12.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of -0.5pp in the past hour.
  • Trading activity: $24,852 traded over 24h on $67,363 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Place a bet

Shares800.00
Payout if win800 coins
Profit if win+700 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

13%

NO

88%

Best bid12.0¢
Best ask13.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$24.9K
Liquidity$67.4K
Total volume$343.4K

Bids

12.0¢$2.5K
11.0¢$18.2K
10.0¢$11.2K
9.0¢$5.3K
8.0¢$5.3K
6.0¢$13
5.0¢$1.6K
4.0¢$2.5K

Asks

13.0¢$7.3K
14.0¢$9.9K
15.0¢$8.2K
16.0¢$9.7K
17.0¢$3.4K
18.0¢$3.9K
19.0¢$2.2K
20.0¢$2.2K
Mid 12.5¢Spread 1.00¢