Active29mo

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

25%

YES probability

25%YES

AI Market Insight

Bearish

The market currently prices YES at 25.1% and is softening toward NO (-1.3pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

•24h probability move: YES moved -1.3pp in the last 24h (now 25.1%).
•Trading activity: $28,540 traded over 24h on $219,069 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 61%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Place a bet

Amount (coins)

Shares399.20

Payout if win399 coins

Profit if win+299 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

25%

75%

Best bid25.0¢

Best ask25.1¢

Spread0.10¢

24h volume$28.5K

Liquidity$219.1K

Total volume$25.6M

Bids

25.0¢$1.1K

24.9¢$31

24.8¢$223.6

24.7¢$39.6

24.5¢$20.6

24.3¢$117

24.2¢$9.6K

24.1¢$20

Asks

25.1¢$6.8K

25.2¢$245

25.3¢$3.4K

25.4¢$2.6K

25.5¢$59.6

25.6¢$68

25.7¢$68

25.8¢$68

Mid 25.1¢Spread 0.10¢