Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 1.6% and is holding roughly steady (+0.1pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of +0.5pp in the past hour.
- •Trading activity: $68,513 traded over 24h on $202,635 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%
Analytics
About this market
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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YES
2%
NO
98%
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