Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
33%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 32.5% and is holding roughly steady (-0.5pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -0.5pp in the last 24h (now 32.5%).
- •Trading activity: $13,865 traded over 24h on $73,015 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 58%
Analytics
About this market
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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YES
33%
NO
68%
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