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AIActive19mo

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

84%

YES probability

81%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 84.0% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $26,865 traded over 24h on $8,968 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Place a bet

Shares119.05
Payout if win119 coins
Profit if win+19 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

84%

NO

16%

Best bid83.0¢
Best ask85.0¢
Spread2.00¢
24h volume$26.9K
Liquidity$9K
Total volume$91K

Bids

No bid orders

Asks

No ask orders

Mid Spread