
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
84%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 84.0% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Trading activity: $26,865 traded over 24h on $8,968 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
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YES
84%
NO
16%
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