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Active27d

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

99%

YES probability

99%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 98.9% and is holding roughly steady (-0.3pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $11,880 traded over 24h on $53,230 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 49%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Place a bet

Shares101.16
Payout if win101 coins
Profit if win+1 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

99%

NO

1%

Best bid98.8¢
Best ask98.9¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$11.9K
Liquidity$53.2K
Total volume$289.6K

Bids

98.8¢$237.7
98.7¢$6.2K
98.6¢$8.1K
98.5¢$6.1K
98.2¢$4K
98.1¢$5K
98.0¢$8K
96.5¢$228.6

Asks

98.9¢$661.6
99.0¢$6.9
99.1¢$352.5
99.2¢$516.9
99.3¢$3.3K
99.4¢$970
99.5¢$609
99.6¢$8
Mid 98.8¢Spread 0.10¢