
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
36%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 35.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Trading activity: $21,054 traded over 24h on $27,286 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Place a bet
Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.
YES
36%
NO
65%
Bids
Asks