Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
18%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 18.0% and is holding roughly steady (-1.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -1.0pp in the last 24h (now 18.0%).
- •Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of -0.5pp in the past hour.
- •Trading activity: $7,417 traded over 24h on $16,203 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 68%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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YES
18%
NO
82%
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