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Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

86%

YES probability

86%YES

AI Market Insight

Bullish

The market currently prices YES at 85.5% and is firming toward YES (+11.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved +11.0pp in the last 24h (now 85.5%).
  • Trading activity: $12,362 traded over 24h on $15,731 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 76%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Place a bet

Shares116.96
Payout if win117 coins
Profit if win+17 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

86%

NO

15%

Best bid85.0¢
Best ask86.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$12.4K
Liquidity$15.7K
Total volume$70K

Bids

84.0¢$191.2
83.0¢$64
82.0¢$500
80.0¢$103
79.0¢$683.9
78.0¢$1.2K
75.0¢$40
72.0¢$10

Asks

86.0¢$407.3
87.0¢$575.4
88.0¢$1.3K
89.0¢$1.9K
90.0¢$355.2
91.0¢$814.5
92.0¢$685.6
93.0¢$32.2
Mid 85.0¢Spread 2.00¢