Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
67%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
BullishThe market currently prices YES at 66.5% and is firming toward YES (+9.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved +9.0pp in the last 24h (now 66.5%).
- •Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of +6.0pp in the past hour.
- •Trading activity: $15,382 traded over 24h on $22,937 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 84%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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YES
67%
NO
34%
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