Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?
21%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
BullishThe market currently prices YES at 20.5% and is firming toward YES (+4.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved +4.0pp in the last 24h (now 20.5%).
- •Trading activity: $4,502 traded over 24h on $4,478 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 72%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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YES
21%
NO
80%
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