S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 2?
22%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
BearishThe market currently prices YES at 21.5% and is softening toward NO (-24.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -24.0pp in the last 24h (now 21.5%).
- •Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of +3.5pp in the past hour.
- •Trading activity: $9,813 traded over 24h on $7,066 liquidity.
- •Resolution approaching: Market resolves in under a day — expect convergence toward the outcome.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 85%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 2, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
Resolution
- Source
- https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Place a bet
Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.
YES
22%
NO
79%
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