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Active19mo

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

17%

YES probability

17%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 16.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of -0.5pp in the past hour.
  • Trading activity: $5,588 traded over 24h on $24,863 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Place a bet

Shares606.06
Payout if win606 coins
Profit if win+506 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

17%

NO

84%

Best bid16.0¢
Best ask17.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$5.6K
Liquidity$24.9K
Total volume$45.1K

Bids

16.0¢$8.4K
15.0¢$700.1
14.0¢$5.1K
13.0¢$8.3K
12.0¢$700.3
11.0¢$500
10.0¢$110
9.0¢$38.9

Asks

17.0¢$5
18.0¢$1.7K
19.0¢$1.6K
20.0¢$100
21.0¢$200
23.0¢$760
24.0¢$938.2
25.0¢$3.1K
Mid 16.5¢Spread 1.00¢