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Active19mo

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

30%

YES probability

30%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 29.5% and is holding roughly steady (-1.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved -1.0pp in the last 24h (now 29.5%).
  • Trading activity: $20,049 traded over 24h on $32,108 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 60%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Place a bet

Shares338.98
Payout if win339 coins
Profit if win+239 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

30%

NO

71%

Best bid29.0¢
Best ask30.0¢
Spread1.00¢
24h volume$20K
Liquidity$32.1K
Total volume$170K

Bids

29.0¢$332.9
28.0¢$831.2
27.0¢$10.7K
26.0¢$47.8K
25.0¢$1.3K
24.0¢$5.5
23.0¢$47.8
22.0¢$114.9

Asks

30.0¢$680
31.0¢$903.5
32.0¢$100.8
33.0¢$261
34.0¢$620
35.0¢$1.7K
36.0¢$2.5K
37.0¢$3.9K
Mid 29.5¢Spread 1.00¢