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Active19mo

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

99%

YES probability

99%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 99.0% and is holding roughly steady (-0.4pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $12,723 traded over 24h on $63,683 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 50%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Place a bet

Shares101.06
Payout if win101 coins
Profit if win+1 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

99%

NO

1%

Best bid98.8¢
Best ask99.1¢
Spread0.30¢
24h volume$12.7K
Liquidity$63.7K
Total volume$487.2K

Bids

98.8¢$115
98.7¢$24.8
98.4¢$454.5
98.3¢$303
98.0¢$2K
97.2¢$1K
97.0¢$450.8
96.9¢$170.1

Asks

99.0¢$1.1K
99.1¢$2K
99.4¢$4.2K
99.5¢$107.4K
99.6¢$5.2K
99.7¢$17.4K
99.8¢$12K
99.9¢$106.3K
Mid 98.9¢Spread 0.20¢