Active27d

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

74%

YES probability

74%YES

AI Market Insight

Bearish

The market currently prices YES at 74.3% and is softening toward NO (-1.9pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

•24h probability move: YES moved -1.9pp in the last 24h (now 74.3%).
•Trading activity: $3,018 traded over 24h on $22,820 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 64%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Place a bet

Amount (coins)

Shares134.59

Payout if win135 coins

Profit if win+35 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

74%

26%

Best bid74.1¢

Best ask74.5¢

Spread0.40¢

24h volume$3K

Liquidity$22.8K

Total volume$172.2K

Bids

74.1¢$8

74.0¢$12

73.4¢$6.3

73.3¢$25

72.0¢$123

70.3¢$200

70.0¢$147

69.5¢$200

Asks

74.5¢$200.1

74.6¢$2.5K

75.0¢$59.5

76.2¢$5

77.7¢$100

77.8¢$200

77.9¢$447

78.0¢$700

Mid 74.3¢Spread 0.40¢