
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
1%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 0.8% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Trading activity: $1,230 traded over 24h on $4,673 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%
Analytics
About this market
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify. This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
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YES
1%
NO
99%
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