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ScienceActive27d

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

1%

YES probability

1%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 0.8% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $1,230 traded over 24h on $4,673 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify. This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.

Place a bet

Shares12500.00
Payout if win12,500 coins
Profit if win+12,400 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

1%

NO

99%

Best bid0.5¢
Best ask1.1¢
Spread0.60¢
24h volume$1.2K
Liquidity$4.7K
Total volume$24.4K

Bids

No bid orders

Asks

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Mid Spread