Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
49%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
BearishThe market currently prices YES at 49.0% and is softening toward NO (-6.5pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -6.5pp in the last 24h (now 49.0%).
- •Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of -1.0pp in the past hour.
- •Trading activity: $11,150 traded over 24h on $49,548 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 84%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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YES
49%
NO
51%
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