
Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?
1%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 0.9% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Trading activity: $3,426 traded over 24h on $9,363 liquidity.
- •Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 4 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
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YES
1%
NO
99%
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