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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?

0%

YES probability

0%YES

AI Market Insight

Bearish

The market currently prices YES at 0.1% and is softening toward NO (-12.4pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved -12.4pp in the last 24h (now 0.1%).
  • Trading activity: $29,506 traded over 24h on $6,209 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 76%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution

Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB

Place a bet

Shares200000.00
Payout if win200,000 coins
Profit if win+199,900 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

0%

NO

100%

Best bid
Best ask0.1¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$29.5K
Liquidity$6.2K
Total volume$36.9K

Bids

No bid orders

Asks

0.1¢$2.6K
0.2¢$10
0.3¢$55
0.4¢$775
0.5¢$74.4
0.6¢$25
0.7¢$25
0.8¢$25
Mid Spread