Fed rate hike in 2026?
35%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
NeutralThe market currently prices YES at 34.5% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •Trading activity: $3,046 traded over 24h on $58,187 liquidity.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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YES
35%
NO
66%
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Asks
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