Active14d

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

YES probability

2%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 1.8% and is holding roughly steady (+0.8pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

•24h probability move: YES moved +0.8pp in the last 24h (now 1.8%).
•Trading activity: $7,922 traded over 24h on $72,277 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 59%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Place a bet

Amount (coins)

Shares5405.41

Payout if win5,405 coins

Profit if win+5,305 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

98%

Best bid1.8¢

Best ask1.9¢

Spread0.10¢

24h volume$7.9K

Liquidity$72.3K

Total volume$464.5K

Bids

1.8¢$121.6

1.7¢$101

1.4¢$382.1

1.3¢$400

1.2¢$1.2K

1.1¢$60.7

1.0¢$581.7

0.9¢$11.2K

Asks

1.9¢$2K

2.0¢$6

2.5¢$300

2.6¢$331.8

2.7¢$100

2.8¢$500

2.9¢$100

3.0¢$100

Mid 1.8¢Spread 0.10¢