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EntertainmentActive2d

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

5%

YES probability

5%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 5.1% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $32,832 traded over 24h on $38,934 liquidity.
  • Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 3 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares1869.16
Payout if win1,869 coins
Profit if win+1,769 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

5%

NO

95%

Best bid5.3¢
Best ask5.4¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$32.7K
Liquidity$37.8K
Total volume$63.6K

Bids

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Asks

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Mid Spread