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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

0%

YES probability

0%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 0.1% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $9,528 traded over 24h on $27,601 liquidity.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 48%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares66666.67
Payout if win66,667 coins
Profit if win+66,567 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

0%

NO

100%

Best bid0.1¢
Best ask0.2¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$9.5K
Liquidity$27.6K
Total volume$9.5K

Bids

0.1¢$20.8K

Asks

0.2¢$3.4K
1.0¢$638.5
2.0¢$168.5
3.0¢$268.5
4.0¢$38.5
5.0¢$138.5
6.0¢$38.5
7.0¢$38.5
Mid 0.1¢Spread 0.10¢