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Active3d

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

0%

YES probability

0%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 0.1% and is holding roughly steady (-0.1pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $9,192 traded over 24h on $15,734 liquidity.
  • Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 4 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares200000.00
Payout if win200,000 coins
Profit if win+199,900 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

0%

NO

100%

Best bid
Best ask0.1¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$9.2K
Liquidity$15.7K
Total volume$9.8K

Bids

No bid orders

Asks

0.1¢$3.7K
0.2¢$239
0.3¢$2.5K
0.6¢$12
0.7¢$14
1.0¢$70
1.1¢$56.6
1.2¢$170
Mid Spread