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Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

0%

YES probability

0%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 0.3% and is holding roughly steady (+0.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $8,886 traded over 24h on $30,529 liquidity.
  • Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 7 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 56%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 2 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares40000.00
Payout if win40,000 coins
Profit if win+39,900 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

0%

NO

100%

Best bid0.2¢
Best ask0.3¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$8.9K
Liquidity$30.5K
Total volume$20.1K

Bids

0.2¢$990.7
0.1¢$15.6K

Asks

0.3¢$259.6
0.4¢$20.1
0.5¢$100
0.9¢$35
1.0¢$100
1.5¢$40
1.8¢$100
1.9¢$200
Mid 0.3¢Spread 0.10¢