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Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

1%

YES probability

1%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 1.1% and is holding roughly steady (+0.6pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • 24h probability move: YES moved +0.6pp in the last 24h (now 1.1%).
  • Trading activity: $15,903 traded over 24h on $33,128 liquidity.
  • Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 7 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 66%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 2 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares8695.65
Payout if win8,696 coins
Profit if win+8,596 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

1%

NO

99%

Best bid1.1¢
Best ask1.2¢
Spread0.10¢
24h volume$15.9K
Liquidity$33.1K
Total volume$26.1K

Bids

1.1¢$196
1.0¢$220
0.9¢$5
0.8¢$200
0.7¢$358.7
0.6¢$1K
0.4¢$593.5
0.3¢$1.8K

Asks

1.2¢$144.3
1.3¢$30
1.8¢$168.4
2.0¢$95
2.2¢$120
2.8¢$70.7
3.0¢$43.5
3.9¢$105
Mid 1.1¢Spread 0.10¢