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Active6d

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

2%

YES probability

1%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 1.6% and is holding roughly steady (+0.4pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $8,754 traded over 24h on $32,824 liquidity.
  • Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 7 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 58%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 2 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares6451.61
Payout if win6,452 coins
Profit if win+6,352 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

2%

NO

98%

Best bid1.3¢
Best ask1.8¢
Spread0.50¢
24h volume$8.8K
Liquidity$32.8K
Total volume$19K

Bids

1.1¢$690
0.8¢$1.4K
0.6¢$1.6K
0.5¢$5.9K
0.3¢$1.3K
0.2¢$6K
0.1¢$17.9K

Asks

1.6¢$20
1.7¢$20
2.1¢$62
2.2¢$134
2.4¢$30
2.9¢$100
3.0¢$101.8
3.1¢$40
Mid 1.4¢Spread 0.50¢