Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
4%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
BearishThe market currently prices YES at 4.1% and is softening toward NO (-2.3pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -2.3pp in the last 24h (now 4.1%).
- •Trading activity: $12,747 traded over 24h on $33,938 liquidity.
- •Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 7 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 73%
Analytics
About this market
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 2 12:00 PM ET to June 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution
- Source
- https://x.com/elonmusk
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YES
4%
NO
96%
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