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Closing soon20h

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

0%

YES probability

0%YES

AI Market Insight

Neutral

The market currently prices YES at 0.4% and is holding roughly steady (+0.2pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.

  • Trading activity: $26,085 traded over 24h on $13,280 liquidity.
  • Resolution approaching: Market resolves in under a day — expect convergence toward the outcome.

Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 57%

Analytics

Analytics are being computed for this market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution

Source
https://x.com/elonmusk

Place a bet

Shares28571.43
Payout if win28,571 coins
Profit if win+28,471 coins

Play money only — virtual coins, no real wagering.

YES

0%

NO

100%

Best bid0.2¢
Best ask0.5¢
Spread0.30¢
24h volume$26.1K
Liquidity$13.3K
Total volume$40.7K

Bids

0.2¢$281.6
0.1¢$4.3K

Asks

0.3¢$20
0.4¢$175
0.5¢$476.3
0.6¢$29
0.7¢$204
1.0¢$220
2.0¢$9
2.3¢$87
Mid 0.3¢Spread 0.10¢