
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro Mochizuki
35%
YES probability
AI Market Insight
BearishThe market currently prices YES at 34.5% and is softening toward NO (-17.0pp over 24h). Price action has been relatively stable.
- •24h probability move: YES moved -17.0pp in the last 24h (now 34.5%).
- •Recent 1h momentum: Short-term move of -15.0pp in the past hour.
- •Trading activity: $61,113 traded over 24h on $31,358 liquidity.
- •Resolution approaching: Market resolves in 6 day(s) — expect convergence toward the outcome.
Generated by foresight-heuristic-v1 · confidence 85%
Analytics
About this market
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution
- Source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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YES
35%
NO
66%
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